UTSA
W-L: (24-33) PR = 90.3519Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 0-17 207 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 3- 6 208 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0-10 211 H Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 3- 1 211 H Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 1-11 212 A Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 9-10 213 A Long Beach State BW ( 4- 8, 90.4) 7- 4 213 A Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 4- 7 217 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 9- 1 220 H UMass Lowell AE ( 2- 4, 89.4) 4- 3 220 H Northern Colorado BSKY ( 2- 8, 91.2) 4- 3 221 H UMass Lowell AE ( 2- 4, 89.4) 1- 3 221 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 6- 5, 92.9) 0- 4 222 H Northern Colorado BSKY ( 2- 8, 91.2) 4- 6 226 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 2- 1 227 H North Dakota SM ( 4- 5, 91.6) 4- 0 227 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 3- 5 228 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 9- 6 228 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 2- 0 301 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 11- 9 301 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 4-11 301 H Saint Francis NE ( 0-11, 86.7) 11- 9 301 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 4-11 304 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 12- 5 307 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 5- 2 307 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 12-11 308 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 3- 1 311 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 0- 7 313 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 14- 3 314 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 5- 1 315 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 6- 3 318 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 4 320 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 5- 2 321 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 6-11 322 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 4- 6 324 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 3- 5, 89.5) 6- 4 327 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 0- 4 328 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 2- 3 328 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 0- 1 331 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1- 8 402 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 3 403 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 9- 6 403 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 5 407 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 0- 3 410 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 2- 3 411 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 4-12 411 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 1- 3 414 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0-10 417 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 8- 5 418 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 0 419 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 6-14 424 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 5- 4 425 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 3- 8 426 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 6- 8 501 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 1- 2 501 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 6- 8 503 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Washington 0-17 -17 -6 --- -8.35
207 H Nebraska 3- 6 -3 -8 ++ 4.59
208 H Texas 0-10 -10 -8 - -2.14
211 H Southern Illinois 3- 1 2 2 -0.02
211 H Eastern Kentucky 1-11 -10 1 --- -10.89
212 A Southern Illinois 9-10 -1 1 -1.54
213 A Long Beach State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.78
213 A Eastern Kentucky 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.41
217 H Houston Christian 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.85
220 H UMass Lowell 4- 3 1 2 -0.73
220 H Northern Colorado 4- 3 1 0 1.08
221 H UMass Lowell 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.73
221 H Stephen F. Austin 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.21
222 H Northern Colorado 4- 6 -2 0 -1.92
226 H SE Louisiana 2- 1 1 -3 + 3.57
227 H North Dakota 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.48
227 H New Mexico State 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.18
228 H Saint Francis 9- 6 3 4 -1.35
228 H New Mexico State 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.82
301 H Saint Francis 11- 9 2 4 - -2.35
301 H UT Arlington 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.95
301 H Saint Francis 11- 9 2 4 - -2.35
301 H UT Arlington 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.95
304 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 12- 5 7 4 + 3.46
307 A Tulsa 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.23
307 A Tulsa 12-11 1 -2 + 3.23
308 A Tulsa 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.23
311 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 0- 7 -7 2 --- -9.05
313 H Memphis 14- 3 11 2 +++ 9.37
314 H Memphis 5- 1 4 2 + 2.37
315 H Memphis 6- 3 3 2 1.37
318 A Sam Houston 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.97
320 H North Texas 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.36
321 H North Texas 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.64
322 H North Texas 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.64
324 H Prairie View A&M 6- 4 2 2 0.42
327 H South Florida 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.65
328 H LSU 2- 3 -1 -6 ++ 4.93
331 H Texas State 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.49
402 H South Florida 1- 3 -2 -2 0.35
403 H South Florida 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 5.35
403 H South Florida 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.65
407 A Texas State 0- 3 -3 -4 1.00
410 A Wichita State 2- 3 -1 -5 ++ 4.05
411 A Wichita State 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.95
411 A Wichita State 1- 3 -2 -5 + 3.05
414 H Texas Tech 0-10 -10 -8 -1.85
417 A UAB 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.86
418 A UAB 3- 0 3 -2 ++ 4.86
419 A UAB 6-14 -8 -2 --- -6.14
424 H Charlotte 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.21
425 H Charlotte 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.79
426 A Wichita State 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.05
501 A East Carolina 1- 2 -1 -2 0.67
501 A East Carolina 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.33
503 A East Carolina 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.33
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Washington 0-17 -17 -6 --- -8.35 211 H Eastern Kentucky 1-11 -10 1 --- -10.89 301 H UT Arlington 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.95 301 H UT Arlington 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.95 311 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 0- 7 -7 2 --- -9.05 419 A UAB 6-14 -8 -2 --- -6.14 331 H Texas State 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.49 208 H Texas 0-10 -10 -8 - -2.14 213 A Eastern Kentucky 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.41 221 H UMass Lowell 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.73 221 H Stephen F. Austin 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.21 301 H Saint Francis 11- 9 2 4 - -2.35 301 H Saint Francis 11- 9 2 4 - -2.35 321 H North Texas 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.64 411 A Wichita State 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.95 425 H Charlotte 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.79 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Memphis 14- 3 11 2 +++ 9.37 207 H Nebraska 3- 6 -3 -8 ++ 4.59 217 H Houston Christian 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.85 227 H North Dakota 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.48 307 A Tulsa 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.23 308 A Tulsa 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.23 320 H North Texas 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.36 328 H LSU 2- 3 -1 -6 ++ 4.93 403 H South Florida 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 5.35 410 A Wichita State 2- 3 -1 -5 ++ 4.05 417 A UAB 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.86 418 A UAB 3- 0 3 -2 ++ 4.86 213 A Long Beach State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.78 226 H SE Louisiana 2- 1 1 -3 + 3.57 228 H New Mexico State 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.82 304 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 12- 5 7 4 + 3.46 307 A Tulsa 12-11 1 -2 + 3.23 314 H Memphis 5- 1 4 2 + 2.37 411 A Wichita State 1- 3 -2 -5 + 3.05 424 H Charlotte 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.21 426 A Wichita State 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.05 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 0-17 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.44 -0.86
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 3- 6 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.44 -0.43
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0-10 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.44 -0.37
3 H Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 3- 1 -10.83 8.54 -0.74 0.44 6.90
3 H Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 1-11 -9.70 9.67 -0.74 0.44 -2.31
3 A Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 9-10 -10.83 8.54 0.74 0.44 -2.23
3 A Long Beach Sta ( 4- 8, 90.4) 7- 4 -9.51 9.86 0.74 0.44 9.37
3 A Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 4- 7 -9.70 9.67 0.74 0.44 -1.98
3 H Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 9- 1 -11.96 7.41 -0.74 0.44 5.90
3 H UMass Lowell ( 2- 4, 89.4) 4- 3 -10.54 8.83 -0.74 0.44 7.16
3 H Northern Color ( 2- 8, 91.2) 4- 3 -8.73 10.64 -0.74 0.44 8.76
3 H UMass Lowell ( 2- 4, 89.4) 1- 3 -10.54 8.83 -0.74 0.44 -2.49
3 H Stephen F. Aus ( 6- 5, 92.9) 0- 4 -7.02 12.35 -0.74 0.44 -1.72
3 H Northern Color ( 2- 8, 91.2) 4- 6 -8.73 10.64 -0.74 0.44 -2.09
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 2- 1 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.44 10.96
3 H North Dakota ( 4- 5, 91.6) 4- 0 -8.33 11.04 -0.74 0.44 9.11
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 3- 5 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.44 -1.93
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 9- 6 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.44 4.84
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 2- 0 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.44 9.41
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 11- 9 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.44 4.84
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 4-11 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.44 -2.10
3 H Saint Francis ( 0-11, 86.7) 11- 9 -13.16 6.21 -0.74 0.44 4.84
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 4-11 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.44 -2.10
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 12- 5 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 0.44 5.56
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 5- 2 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.44 10.66
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 12-11 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.44 10.66
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 3- 1 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.44 10.66
3 A Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 0- 7 -12.34 7.03 0.74 0.44 -2.56
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 14- 3 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.44 7.24
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 5- 1 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.44 7.24
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 6- 3 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.44 7.24
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 1- 4 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.44 -1.66
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 5- 2 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.44 9.89
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 6-11 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.44 -1.81
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 4- 6 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.44 -1.81
3 H Prairie View A ( 3- 5, 89.5) 6- 4 -10.39 8.98 -0.74 0.44 7.29
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 0- 4 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.44 -1.59
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 2- 3 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.44 -0.80
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 0- 1 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.44 -1.53
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 1- 8 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.44 -1.56
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 1- 3 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.44 -1.59
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 9- 6 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.44 10.76
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 1- 5 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.44 -1.59
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 0- 3 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.44 -1.23
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 2- 3 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.44 -1.00
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 4-12 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.44 -1.00
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 1- 3 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.44 -1.00
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0-10 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.44 -0.31
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 8- 5 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.44 10.33
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 3- 0 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.44 10.33
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 6-14 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.44 -1.70
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 5- 4 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.44 9.75
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 3- 8 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.44 -1.84
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 6- 8 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.44 -1.00
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 1- 2 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.44 -1.74
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 6- 8 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.44 -1.74
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 2- 5 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.44 -1.74
------
148.27
|
winning pts = 199.6836 losing points = -51.4091
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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